Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 13.058182 14.733944 16.664417 19.082271 22.072696 25.710124 30.567155
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.979129 12.996488 15.505673 18.942443 23.676433 30.220830 40.473246
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.680498 11.808701 14.589178 18.633932 24.650011 33.821974 50.252221
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.833725 11.031887 14.018291 18.583510 25.837444 37.928146 62.660661
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.264223 10.533302 13.724052 18.826170 27.454603 43.171854 80.297777
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.602417 9.824507 13.023741 18.303511 27.644975 45.848677 94.254407
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.167454 9.392222 12.673095 18.268014 28.656296 50.480805 117.430538
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.644805 8.784342 11.988162 17.569046 28.268691 51.944465 132.726184
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.132480 8.154544 11.213502 16.618953 27.212344 51.524599 141.315168
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.719851 7.648819 10.595906 15.877084 26.454318 51.642796 152.840561
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.878579 8.022641 11.418452 17.829128 31.785939 70.396911 300.454004
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.828916 8.064661 11.693747 18.799672 35.244827 86.484075 540.700844
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.453350 7.576681 11.049416 17.927103 34.157825 86.784240 632.977409
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.228849 7.320668 10.789718 17.807116 34.989943 95.221665 991.179498
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.001302 7.045071 10.472428 17.525715 35.332519 102.108356 1567.894014
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.827457 6.847480 10.278271 17.479766 36.325242 113.101640 3323.991862
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.704130 6.726279 10.211775 17.700905 38.167319 130.857826 16968.360914
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.499347 6.456357 9.851811 17.224432 37.776506 135.707355 92197.705191
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.365654 6.300823 9.694601 17.192049 38.798174 151.295031 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.167074 6.024867 9.293697 16.553801 37.694802 150.981544 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.951808 5.712578 8.809633 15.684391 35.681523 142.514547 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.770505 5.453380 8.416343 15.003999 34.226122 137.819973 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.885433 5.712620 9.030292 16.791423 41.883181 227.123543 NaN